In the early morning of 2nd day, Zhang Yuan put on a dark circle and started a normal day of work. In any case, the Earth civilization is in jubilation, and life still has to go on.

"Why, I had insomnia yesterday? I stayed up all night and watched it."

"Yes, Senior Brother, you won." Zhang Yuan laughed.

"It has nothing to do with me...It is the new civilization history that won."

Perhaps it is because at this moment, it is too far from Earth; or it is because in time Under the baptism of the Earth, Earth civilization has become very unfamiliar, and everyone’s mood is not so depressed, so they are equivalent to watching an unusually jerky movie.

It's just that the click-through rate of related papers on the history of the new civilization has increased by more than a thousand times in the past few hundred years, including Zhang Yuan's new paper, and there are many comments!

No matter what you can read or understand, people are trying to find a way to crack it from this new discipline.

Unfortunately, the historiography of New Civilization is only a complex network model so far. Various calculations are so abstract that people usually can't understand it at all, just watching the excitement.

Only people like Zhang Yuan who are proficient in mathematics have a certain right to speak.

In particular, converting a historical node into a series of chaotic functions involves a lot of complicated calculations. Some things, after calculating a number, even Zhang Yuan himself can't figure out what the number means.

"Now that we have the historical reference data of Earth civilization, we can continue to improve this discipline. It's just that the sample data is not enough...This is only five-six hundred years." Zhang Yuan carefully Read the current research progress.

He suddenly said: "I think Earth civilization has not reached its worst, and it is still possible to break free from the trough."

"Yes!" Senior Brother Zhao Said: "It's just the Cold War. There is a small probability of jumping out of the trough, but the higher probability will become worse. Regardless of calculation, from a political point of view, what do you think is a way to get the entire civilization out of the current predicament."

According to the old historical experience, this cold War General will continue, similar to the original US-Soviet competition for hegemony, until one side’s economy completely collapses and one side cannibalize the other side.

Of course, it is also possible that before the collapse occurs, a certain party stakes all on one throw, and the first interstellar war of human civilization erupts, causing huge damage.

"...It is difficult to pick out this trough by internal factors alone." Zhang Yuan pondered for a while, and said, "I need help from aliens now! The emergence of aliens , It may be a key event to reverse the trend. But the probability of such a thing happening is too low."

Senior Brother Zhao couldn't help laughing: "How do you know that the arrival of aliens is a positive event If you encounter a strong enemy that is difficult to resist, as long as there is a chance to survive, the high-level humans have a high probability of directly surrendering. It's better to die than to live. How can ants challenge the elephant?"

"Only evenly Only the matched enemies can unite the Earth civilization. This probability is very small..."

"That's true."

Senior Brother Zhao made a not very funny "Maybe, when we become stronger, we can be treated as aliens."

"This joke is not funny at all. Do we need to go back?"

After this discussion, Zhang Yuan frowns.

Even if there is a lot of history to learn from, can the new civilization do better than the Earth civilization?

Not necessarily.

Reality is always more cruel than imagined.

Wait for them this generation, the ambitious interstellar pioneers all die, what will happen to the next few generations?

No one can predict.

Humans have their own roots of inferiority, and their descendants may not be better than Earth civilization.

The wheel of history, the later, the more a single great man can change. How easy is it to change?

……

The life in spaceship is quite boring. It is nothing more than learning, entertainment, and rest. Research on the history of new civilizations has been ongoing. How to translate samples into data is a key difficulty.

On this day, Zhang Yuan came to the Star Library alone, looking into the distance through a layer of glass.

He likes to be in this small place, thinking about problems quietly.

Because of the cloud of war on the Earth side, the economic recession, and the reduction in expenditure, the information sent by the Deep Space Foundation has been reduced from once a month to the current once a year.

If the funds are insufficient, the reduction will continue in the future...

This is very bad news.

"Hey, if I keep that stock for now, it will be fine."

Zhang Yuan was slightly upset, but soon gave up the idea. Maybe that stock was left worthless long ago, and the company has gone bankrupt.

He began to try to change some key historical nodes in the model to change the current final outcome.

Assuming that a certain key history did not happen, will the current ending change?

Unfortunately, this cannot be assumed.

The key historical nodes are derived from the large amount of history ahead. To modify these key historical nodes, all the history ahead needs to be modified so that the entire network can be harmonious and matched.

While revising a large amount of history ahead, it is necessary to revise the history further ahead until it reaches the final origin.

The result is that every point in the entire network system needs to be modified to change the final outcome.

Such a complicated deduction of a chaotic system is not what Zhang Yuan's current level can do.

"Move the whole body!"

The most important thing is that according to the mathematical model of the new civilization history, the insurmountable trough that a civilization finally reaches is definitely more than this. One.

There are more and more troughs ahead, and more difficult problems to overcome.

That is, under the dim starry sky, "Mediocrity" is the most eternal truth.

The stars in the sky are twinkling, how many civilizations are hidden inside? How many civilizations are facing a mediocre ending similar to Earth?

Even though, Earth civilization has not reached its final destination, but it is already close to the end...

Absolutely thousands of roads, only one is the real broad and open road , The remaining nine thousand nine hundred and ninety-nine are all just dead ends.

It is a pity that this broad and open road is hidden in countless dead ends, and it is not necessarily so easy to find.

It even disguised as a rugged trail,

As a civilization grows, it is bound to be accompanied by countless amazing heroes, but these great men are still only It can delay the progress of civilization to mediocrity. Because they have already taken the wrong path at first.

In this brief moment, Zhang Yuan has firmed up his determination to "everything obeys calculation", and relying on human wisdom alone, there are too few things that can be seen. Only a figure calculated by plot against, that kind of simplicity and objectivity is far beyond human wisdom.

……

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